How Boris Johnson will become the next Prime Minister

By: Toby Gould, Student Voices editor

It's not been a good week for George Osborne.  First Ian Duncan Smith resigned, fiercely criticising the chancellor.  This then led to the government reversing the cuts to the disability PIP allowance.  Now he (along with the government) is facing an open revolt within the part over plans to turn every school into an academy (and rightly so; it's a ridiculous policy that won't serve schools well).  The policy isn't popular within the Conservatives, and the privatisation of education is certainly not gaining any support outside of the Tory party either.  Osborne is at the front of all of this - seemingly leading his party from one blunder to another.  Some of the criticism is probably a bit unfair given that David Cameron is escaping relatively unscathed in comparison to his chancellor, but nonetheless Osborne is bearing the brunt of government failures and it has destroyed his chances of Conservative leadership and becoming Prime Minister.

While the budget has aggravated Conservative members, Councillors and a number of backbench MPs, it's his position on the EU that will really harm Osborne's chances of leadership. We know Cameron is on the way out whether or not his side wins the EU referendum, but even is the UK does remain in the European Union - Osborne's support for the In campaign goes against the grain of Tory MPs' views and, more importantly, Conservative members.  This is where Boris Johnson comes in. His support for Brexit panders to Tory core support (I'm very sceptical as to whether or not he's really a Europsceptic), and the members are the one that will be electing the next leader (and most likely Prime Minister).

Boris Johnson is the more popular
candidate at the moment.
Boris Johnson hasn't been in government - he isn't tainted by the poor policy decisions of recent weeks which are a mark on Osborne's record as chancellor.  Johnson is also popular, as shown by winning two London mayoral elections - particularly impressive as a Conservative.  On top of this, we remember Boris for the funny and positive moments of his political career.  From getting stuck on a zip wire waving British flags, to speaking at the very successful 2012 London Olympics, Boris is rarely associated with the public spending cuts of the government but instead seen as a positive public figure riding around the capital on a bike.  Of course, his 'bumbling buffoon' act is something he plays on - but in reality he is an intelligent and ambitious politician.  His support of Brexit is more political than ideological; and although he always (loosely) denies it, we know he want's to be Prime Minister.

Boris Johnson has risen to the elite of the Conservative party, and his support of Brexit combined with the way he stays detached from unpopular government decisions will lead him to become Tory leader and, subsequently, Prime Minister.

Header Photo Credit: Telegraph

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