By: Calum Henderson
Editor: Matt Reuben
A lot divides Britain and America, including, as was once
ironically said, a common language, but at election times, the two countries
can often be hit by the same political weather. Take Harold Wilson in 1964, for
instance, promising a technological revolution similar to the one that John
Kennedy had advocated to his own people four years previously, or Margaret
Thatcher and Ronald Reagan at the turn of the 1980s. Both of them swept to
power with almost identical campaign messages. The ‘make the country great
again’ slogan was then recycled by Bill Clinton and Tony Blair a decade later, and has now cropped up again; this time as the rallying cry of Donald J. Trump.
Supporters of the Republican nominee have expressed their
hope that the mood which propelled the Brexit campaign to victory last June
will replicate itself across the Atlantic this November.
Meanwhile, Donald Trump himself somewhat resembles the
more unusual characters in our own politics, such as Jeremy Corbyn, Boris
Johnson or Andrea Leadsom, all of whom either won or came within an inch of
winning their party’s leadership despite each of them being wholly unsuitable
for the respective jobs.
It is well known that many senior Republicans are
appalled by Trump’s antics, just as much as Labour MPs are in public despair
over Corbyn’s ‘leadership.’ In both instances, opportunities to prevent events
reaching the stage they are now at were missed, largely because the forces that
have put Corbyn and Trump in the antechambers of power were either misunderstood,
or ignored altogether.
This is an especially serious problem as right now, the
Democrats, like the British Conservatives, are extremely complacent.
Traditionally, winning a third term in the United States is a very difficult
task.
This year, the Democrats had been expecting a tough
contest between a formidable Republican opponent, such as Marco Rubio, with his
New-Generation-Hispanic credentials. But Rubio, as we all remember, was
humiliated by Trump earlier this year.
Now Clinton, a woman who already believes she is entitled
to the presidency, may begin to believe that the gods are arranging for her
wishes to come true by having Trump become her opponent. Yet she has been on
the scene for so long – too long – and, since she is advocating the
continuation of Obama policies cannot be the ‘change’ candidate in this
election.
Thomas Frank, an American journalist, has written an
important new book called Listen, Liberal, in which he chronicles the
Democratic Party’s abandonment of the voting block which used to be its biggest
concern: the blue-collar workers; what we in Britain would call the traditional
working class. This intentional detachment, Frank explains, is the largest
unacknowledged achievement of the first Clinton administration. Listen, Liberal
also anticipates Trump in examining the phenomenon in which right-wing
extremists attack the Democratic Party from the left. In a nutshell, this is
consequence of the Democrats abandoning its voters.
Take one of Trump’s most well-known pledges: his
opposition to the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA). Launched at the
beginning of Bill Clinton’s first term, it has been supported by every
president and presidential candidate since, including Barack Obama and Hillary
Clinton.
Washington believes in NAFTA like it believes that the
sun will always rise in the morning, or that Hitler was a bad guy. It’s
importance, argued Frank, is a non-debatable, accepted truth, just as ‘free
trade’, like ‘democracy’ or ‘liberty,’ is a positively charged word that can
never be assumed to mean anything negative. However, for many ordinary
Americans, as they are patronisingly called, NAFTA has scuppered them by
allowing large corporations to move jobs to Mexico. The devotion the Democrats,
and many Republicans feel towards the agreement means these issues are never
going to be addressed while in their arrogance, they believe that no serious
opponent could come along and speak for the left behind.
Now Trump has come along, and is taking a blowtorch to
this fragile consensus. He is no more anti-establishment or anti-elite than
Michael Gove feigned to be, but the success of these men – insiders posing as
outsiders – is a real phenomenon, the result of genuine opposition collapsing,
be it Labour in Britain or anti-Trump candidates in the US. Senior Republicans
such as Condoleezza Rice, Paul Ryan, and even Marco Rubio, have tried to
accommodate Trump rather than denounce him leaving no one left to undertake the
mighty task of exposing such demagogues for what they are, while accepting that
there are legitimate concerns about NAFTA, just as there are problems with the
EU’s similar free movement policy.
Historically, the British
left’s biggest failing has been the way in which it underestimated its
opponents, all too happily believing that the Tories were an incompetent and
buffoonish crew not realising that they are in fact formidable operators; sly
fixers who given the chance, will change the country dramatically, as they have
done with Europe.
The lesson for American
Democrats is that Trump is not just being fuelled by hate and xenophobia but
also by many concerned Americans who look at Clinton and see only the
perpetuation of their misery. This time, the ‘change’ candidate is someone the
Democrats arrogantly believe can be written off. Instead, they must understand
the forces which have elevated Donald Trump to this position, and confront them
before things get further out of hand.
The US Democrats Have Become an Out of Touch Elite
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